Preussen Münster 0-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
9.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.41
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
1/X
7%
14.7
X/1
10%
8.94
X/2
16%
4.26
X/X
8%
5.54
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.3
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.11/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.55
-22% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -48%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
246 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 82%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
19.4 Crosses 22.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
0-1
AWAY Köln
0.30 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
334 Passes 414
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln squeezed past Preussen Münster 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 45% of the ball to Köln's 55%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.30 to 0.69.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Köln?

Preussen Münster 0-1 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 28%, draw 24%, Köln 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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