Paderborn vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paderborn v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals
Paderborn vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-3
Nürnberg
AL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Nürnberg
AL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Paderborn
AL2
1-2
HT 0-2
Paderborn
AL2
2-2
HT 1-0
Nürnberg
AL2
Paderborn 3-2 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics
Paderborn edged past Nürnberg 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paderborn as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Paderborn had 40% of the ball to Nürnberg's 60%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 3.33 to 1.30 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paderborn's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Paderborn and 1.50 for Nürnberg.
What was the final score of Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
Paderborn 3-2 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paderborn vs Nürnberg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 46%, draw 26%, Nürnberg 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paderborn), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.