W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-4 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒12:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.6pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+95% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 84%
15.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.6 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.26 xG 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
239 Passes 283
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.01.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
17.12.2023 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
28.11.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
20.12.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
0-4
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
0.28 xG 2.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
335 Passes 413
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) ran out comfortable winners over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brisbane Roar (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 46% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 54%, shots finished 8-20, expected goals 0.28 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.80 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-4 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 30%, draw 28%, Brisbane Roar (K) 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
22 Nov 2024
09:30 Adelaide United (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Analysis →