Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 KRC Genk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +1%
1.84/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.52
+64% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
22.1 Crosses 15.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3W-0D-1L
AWAY KRC Genk II
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 1.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
267 Passes 332
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 1-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
28.10.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
06.11.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 4-2 HT 2-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
14.08.2022 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 4-1 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2-2
AWAY KRC Genk II
1.87 xG 1.47
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
395 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen and KRC Genk II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lierse Kempenzonen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 64% of the ball to KRC Genk II's 36%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.87 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 2.00 for KRC Genk II.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II?

Lierse Kempenzonen 2-2 KRC Genk II in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs KRC Genk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 45%, draw 26%, KRC Genk II 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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