Vasco da Gama 0-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.52
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
8%
7.05
X/2
16%
4.55
X/X
13%
4.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.98
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
44%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +24%
1.33/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.91
+40% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +7%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 83%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
19.5 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Internacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.08 xG 1.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.07.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
27.10.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.06.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.02.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
19.10.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
20.10.2019 Internacional Internacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
0-1
AWAY Internacional
0.88 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
330 Passes 365
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 24
34 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Internacional nicked a narrow win over Vasco da Gama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Internacional as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 49% of the ball to Internacional's 51%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.88 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.50 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Vasco da Gama 0-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 28%, draw 29%, Internacional 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Internacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Internacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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