Internacional 1-2 Vasco da Gama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.82
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.45
X/1
20%
3.65
X/2
11%
9.69
X/X
9%
4.21
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
8%
8.66
2/X
8%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Internacional EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -18%
1.62/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.41
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.6 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Internacional
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 1.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
414 Passes 342
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.06.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.02.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
19.10.2020 Internacional Internacional 2-0 HT 2-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
20.10.2019 Internacional Internacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
08.06.2019 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 2-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Internacional
1-2
AWAY Vasco da Gama
1.29 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
538 Passes 249
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 13
34 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Internacional vs Vasco da Gama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama edged past Internacional 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Internacional at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Internacional had 65% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 35%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.29 to 0.73 — the balance of chances actually favoured Internacional.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Internacional and 0.83 for Vasco da Gama.

What was the final score of Internacional vs Vasco da Gama?

Internacional 1-2 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Internacional vs Vasco da Gama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Internacional win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Internacional 49%, draw 26%, Vasco da Gama 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Internacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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