Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 8 Jul 2024

📅08/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
9%
21.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.71
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.55
X/1
15%
4.17
X/2
11%
7.3
X/X
11%
4.32
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
5.91
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.35/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.20
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.6 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
268 Passes 430
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
08.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
08.11.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
18.07.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
26.11.2020 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
20.08.2020 Botafogo Botafogo 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo
3-0
AWAY Atletico Mineiro
1.15 xG 0.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
444 Passes 313
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 1
17 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo cruised past Atletico Mineiro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Botafogo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botafogo had 57% of the ball to Atletico Mineiro's 43%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.15 to 0.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Botafogo and 0.83 for Atletico Mineiro.

What was the final score of Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro?

Botafogo 3-0 Atletico Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 08/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Atletico Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botafogo 42%, draw 28%, Atletico Mineiro 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botafogo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botafogo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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