Hvidovre 2-0 Roskilde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.39
2-3 Goals
48%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 29% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
19%
3.97
X/2
9%
9.85
X/X
10%
5.06
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
9%
7.78
2/X
10%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Roskilde EU Bookmakers 22%
+9% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
2.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.85
+45% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
21.6 Crosses 13.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hvidovre
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Roskilde
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.58 xG 1.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
403 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2024 Roskilde Roskilde 2-0 HT 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
25.07.2020 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
10.11.2019 Roskilde Roskilde 0-2 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
25.08.2019 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-2 HT 0-0 Roskilde Roskilde DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hvidovre
2-0
AWAY Roskilde
1.81 xG 0.81
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
404 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hvidovre vs Roskilde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre saw off Roskilde 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Hvidovre had 56% of the ball to Roskilde's 44%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.81 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hvidovre had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Hvidovre and 1.00 for Roskilde.

What was the final score of Hvidovre vs Roskilde?

Hvidovre 2-0 Roskilde in the Denmark 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hvidovre vs Roskilde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hvidovre 49%, draw 28%, Roskilde 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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