Sepsi 2-0 Buzau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

Sepsi
2-0 HT 2-0
Buzau
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Buzau EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.81/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.19
+16% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 69%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.3 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Buzau
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.59 xG 1.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
285 Passes 224
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 15
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 6
22.07.2024 Buzau Buzau 1-2 HT 0-2 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
2-0
AWAY Buzau
1.01 xG 0.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs Buzau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi saw off Buzau 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sepsi had 49% of the ball to Buzau's 51%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.01 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs Buzau?

Sepsi 2-0 Buzau in the Romania - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs Buzau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 50%, draw 24%, Buzau 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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