Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
2.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.78
Over
47%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.88
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.91
6+
5%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.58
1/2
3%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
10%
7.22
X/2
16%
4.72
X/X
17%
4.43
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
27%
2.9
2/X
5%
13.55
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Oxford United The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough The Market 49%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.12 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.12
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
250 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 72%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford United
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Middlesbrough
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.01 xG 2.96
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
207 Passes 429
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 2-1 HT 0-1 Oxford United Oxford United İNCL
23.11.2024 Oxford United Oxford United 2-6 HT 1-3 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
12.07.2017 Oxford United Oxford United 0-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough HAZ
18.02.2017 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 3-2 HT 2-0 Oxford United Oxford United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford United
1 - 1
AWAY Middlesbrough
0.53 xG 1.06
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
176 Passes 486
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Oxford United vs Middlesbrough
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Oxford United and Middlesbrough traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.

On the day, Middlesbrough saw more of the ball, 70% to 30%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.53 to 1.06.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Middlesbrough led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.25 a game for Oxford United against 2.75 for Middlesbrough.

Oxford United vs Middlesbrough Result & Final Score

Oxford United 1 - 1 Middlesbrough in the England - Championship on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Oxford United vs Middlesbrough Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Oxford United 26%, draw 28%, Middlesbrough 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Middlesbrough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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