Lugo vs Pontevedra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugo v Pontevedra — Team-Based Signals
Lugo vs Pontevedra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Lugo
HAZ
Lugo 1-0 Pontevedra — Actual Match Statistics
Lugo nicked a narrow win over Pontevedra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lugo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lugo had 51% of the ball to Pontevedra's 49%, shots finished 11-5.
What was the final score of Lugo vs Pontevedra?
Lugo 1-0 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugo vs Pontevedra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lugo 43%, draw 27%, Pontevedra 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.