Merida AD 2-1 Real Aviles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 22 Nov 2025

Merida AD
2-1 HT 1-0
Real Aviles
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Real Aviles Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
9%
17.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Real Aviles — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.62/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.62
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Merida AD 2-1 Real Aviles — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-1
AWAY Real Aviles
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Real Aviles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merida AD edged past Real Aviles 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Merida AD as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Merida AD had 50% of the ball to Real Aviles's 50%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Real Aviles?

Merida AD 2-1 Real Aviles in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Real Aviles?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 50%, draw 23%, Real Aviles 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merida AD), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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