Pro Vercelli 1-0 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.17
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.5pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +27%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.61
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +105%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Alcione
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.03.2025 Alcione 1-2 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
08.11.2024 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-0
AWAY Alcione
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli nicked a narrow win over Alcione 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pro Vercelli as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 60% of the ball to Alcione's 40%, shots finished 23-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pro Vercelli and 0.50 for Alcione.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Alcione?

Pro Vercelli 1-0 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 43%, draw 26%, Alcione 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Vercelli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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