Sorrento Calcio 1-2 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.31/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.13
+12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Casertana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Casertana Casertana 4-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
04.11.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
23.12.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-2
AWAY Casertana
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana squeezed past Sorrento Calcio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Casertana made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 61% of the ball to Casertana's 39%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 2.00 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana?

Sorrento Calcio 1-2 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 33%, draw 27%, Casertana 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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