Casertana 4-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.03/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.31
-21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
23.12.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
4-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana ran out comfortable winners over Sorrento Calcio 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Casertana found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Casertana had 57% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 43%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 1.00 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio?

Casertana 4-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casertana 40%, draw 31%, Sorrento Calcio 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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