Lumezzane 0-2 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.13
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.16
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.3pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+10.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.18/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.12
-2% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Renate
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Renate Renate 1-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
10.02.2024 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
01.10.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
03.10.2015 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
0-2
AWAY Renate
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate beat Lumezzane 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Renate made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Lumezzane had 56% of the ball to Renate's 44%, shots finished 5-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lumezzane and 1.00 for Renate.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Renate?

Lumezzane 0-2 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 34%, draw 29%, Renate 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renate), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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