Renate 0-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.03
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.19/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.61
-3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +89%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
01.10.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
03.10.2015 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
0-1
AWAY Lumezzane
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Renate vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane squeezed past Renate 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Lumezzane made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Renate had 53% of the ball to Lumezzane's 47%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Renate and 2.00 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Renate vs Lumezzane?

Renate 0-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renate 38%, draw 30%, Lumezzane 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Renate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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