Picerno 2-2 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.39
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 39%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.32/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.79
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
0W-4D-2L
AWAY SS Monopoli
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
03.03.2024 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
25.10.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
02.02.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
01.10.2022 Picerno Picerno 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
01.05.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-2
AWAY SS Monopoli
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Picerno vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno and SS Monopoli couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Picerno had 61% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 39%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Picerno and 1.00 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Picerno vs SS Monopoli?

Picerno 2-2 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Picerno 34%, draw 32%, SS Monopoli 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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