SS Monopoli 1-1 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.32
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.04
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Picerno
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
25.10.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
02.02.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
01.10.2022 Picerno Picerno 1-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
01.05.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
06.02.2022 Picerno Picerno 3-0 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-1
AWAY Picerno
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli and Picerno couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SS Monopoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 47% of the ball to Picerno's 53%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.00 for Picerno.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Picerno?

SS Monopoli 1-1 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 42%, draw 30%, Picerno 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SS Monopoli), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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