Vicenza 1-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.64
Over 2.5
50%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
1.74/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.68
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
527 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lecco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.01.2023 Lecco Lecco 3-0 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
13.09.2022 Vicenza Vicenza 4-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Lecco
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza nicked a narrow win over Lecco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vicenza had 54% of the ball to Lecco's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vicenza and 1.50 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Lecco?

Vicenza 1-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 51%, draw 26%, Lecco 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ BTTS No
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