Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
42%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.2
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
42%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.1pp
41%
Away Win
28%
+13.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 32%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.74/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.93
+43% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Casertana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.12.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1-1
AWAY Casertana
50% Ball Possession 50%
25 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio and Casertana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Casertana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 50% of the ball to Casertana's 50%, shots finished 25-11.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana?

Sorrento Calcio 1-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 31%, draw 27%, Casertana 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casertana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casertana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
4 Nov 2024
22:30 Vicenza vs Lecco Analysis →
22:30 Team Altamura vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
22:30 SS Monopoli vs Picerno Analysis →
22:30 Benevento vs Torre Neapolis Analysis →
22:30 Cavese vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →