Cavese 2-1 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.9
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -27%
0.67/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.37
-42% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
241 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.03.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
15.11.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
2-1
AWAY Foggia Calcio
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese squeezed past Foggia Calcio 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Cavese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cavese had 46% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 54%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cavese and 1.00 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Foggia Calcio?

Cavese 2-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cavese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cavese 36%, draw 31%, Foggia Calcio 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cavese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cavese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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