Foggia Calcio 0-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.43
6+ Goals
11%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.47/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.13
+4% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Cavese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2024 Cavese Cavese 2-1 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
14.03.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
15.11.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
0-1
AWAY Cavese
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese squeezed past Foggia Calcio 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Foggia Calcio at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 52% of the ball to Cavese's 48%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foggia Calcio and 0.67 for Cavese.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Cavese?

Foggia Calcio 0-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 41%, draw 27%, Cavese 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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