Renate 1-2 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.35
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.86
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.02.2024 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
01.10.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-3 HT 1-1 Renate Renate İTC
03.10.2015 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-2
AWAY Lumezzane
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane edged past Renate 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 49% of the ball to Lumezzane's 51%, shots finished 8-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Renate and 1.67 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Renate vs Lumezzane?

Renate 1-2 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renate 36%, draw 27%, Lumezzane 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lumezzane) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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