Novara 3-1 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.95
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.39/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.49
-2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
3-1
AWAY Caldiero Terme
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novara vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara saw off Caldiero Terme 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Novara had 50% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 50%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Novara vs Caldiero Terme?

Novara 3-1 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novara 43%, draw 27%, Caldiero Terme 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Novara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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