Ternana vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ternana v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
Ternana vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Ternana
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
5-1
HT 2-0
Ternana
İTB
1-0
HT 1-0
SPAL
İTB
2-1
HT 2-1
SPAL
İTB
4-0
HT 2-0
Ternana
İTB
Ternana 4-1 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics
Ternana cruised past SPAL 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Ternana had 61% of the ball to SPAL's 39%, shots finished 22-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ternana and 1.83 for SPAL.
What was the final score of Ternana vs SPAL?
Ternana 4-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ternana vs SPAL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ternana 51%, draw 25%, SPAL 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.