Alcione 0-1 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.51
Over 2.5
32%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.41
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 39% vs market 37.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.2pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 46%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.01/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-9% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
0-1
AWAY Trento AC
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alcione vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC edged past Alcione 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trento AC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alcione had 49% of the ball to Trento AC's 51%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Alcione vs Trento AC?

Alcione 0-1 Trento AC in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alcione 30%, draw 28%, Trento AC 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trento AC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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