Canberra United (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.38/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.92
-20% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.7 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 287
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
04.11.2023 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 2-3 HT 2-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2019 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
3-0
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
2.23 xG 0.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
304 Passes 242
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) swept aside Perth Glory (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Canberra United (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 54% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 46%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.23 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Canberra United (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.33 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Canberra United (K) 3-0 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 47%, draw 28%, Perth Glory (K) 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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