Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 22 Nov 2025

Newcastle Jets (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle Jets (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Jets (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.09/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/2.00
+63% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
24.7 Crosses 22.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.78 xG 1.86
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
230 Passes 280
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.02.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 HT 2-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
03.11.2024 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 2-2 HT 1-2 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
09.02.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW
02.02.2019 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) 4-1 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
24.11.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Jets (K) Newcastle Jets (K) AVUSTW

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle Jets (K)
1-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.57 xG 0.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Jets (K) nicked a narrow win over W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Newcastle Jets (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 50% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 50%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.57 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.67 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Newcastle Jets (K) 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Jets (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 39%, draw 26%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Jets (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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