BATE II 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
44%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE II EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 48%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.54/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.94
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH BATE II vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE II nicked a narrow win over Dnepr Mogilev 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day BATE II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of BATE II vs Dnepr Mogilev?

BATE II 2-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE II vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split BATE II 37%, draw 25%, Dnepr Mogilev 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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