Orsha 1-3 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.2pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 62%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.32/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.42
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 6-2 HT 2-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
15.09.2024 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
17.05.2024 Orsha Orsha 1-1 HT 1-0 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC BLR1
23.09.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 4-4 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC saw off Orsha 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ostrovets FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Orsha and 2.75 for Ostrovets FC.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Ostrovets FC?

Orsha 1-3 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Orsha 27%, draw 25%, Ostrovets FC 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ostrovets FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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