ES Tunis 0-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 22 Nov 2025

ES Tunis
0-0 HT 0-0
Stade Malien Bamako
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

ES Tunis vs Stade Malien Bamako Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.44
No
49%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.18
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 26% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.53
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
24.0
X/1
23%
3.55
X/2
4%
20.4
X/X
8%
6.54
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
5%
20.15
2/X
4%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
37%
+14.4pp
49%
BTTS No
63%
-14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Tunis v Stade Malien Bamako — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 12%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+71% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards –

ES Tunis vs Stade Malien Bamako Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Tunis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
The Meetings
25.07.2015 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-2 HT 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako Stade Malien Bamako CAFKK

ES Tunis 0-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ES Tunis
0-0
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
2.62 xG 0.24
73% Ball Possession 27%
24 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
515 Passes 116
84% Pass Accuracy 55%
36 Box Touches 4
35 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ES Tunis vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis and Stade Malien Bamako fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. ES Tunis carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ES Tunis had 73% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 27%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.62 to 0.24.

What was the final score of ES Tunis vs Stade Malien Bamako?

ES Tunis 0-0 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Champions League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Tunis vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split ES Tunis 68%, draw 20%, Stade Malien Bamako 12%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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