Saint-Etienne 2-1 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Nov 2025

Saint-Etienne
2-1 HT 1-0
Nancy
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Saint-Etienne vs Nancy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.2
X/1
24%
4.14
X/2
5%
10.95
X/X
9%
5.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
9%
8.9
2/X
8%
17.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Etienne v Nancy — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Etienne EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -24%
1.81/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.67
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -24%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
17.3 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Saint-Etienne vs Nancy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Etienne
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nancy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
422 Passes 228
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
8 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.05.2017 Nancy Nancy 3-1 HT 1-0 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
21.12.2016 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FR1
14.12.2016 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-1 HT 0-1 Nancy Nancy FRLK
04.01.2015 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 0-0 HT 0-0 Nancy Nancy FRK
23.02.2013 Nancy Nancy 0-3 HT 0-2 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne FR1
05.10.2012 Saint-Etienne Saint-Etienne 4-0 HT 4-0 Nancy Nancy FR1

Saint-Etienne 2-1 Nancy — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Etienne
2-1
AWAY Nancy
2.00 xG 1.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
589 Passes 198
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saint-Etienne vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Etienne squeezed past Nancy 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saint-Etienne as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Saint-Etienne had 69% of the ball to Nancy's 31%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.00 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saint-Etienne and 0.67 for Nancy.

What was the final score of Saint-Etienne vs Nancy?

Saint-Etienne 2-1 Nancy in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Etienne vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saint-Etienne win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Saint-Etienne 56%, draw 23%, Nancy 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saint-Etienne), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saint-Etienne) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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