Amiens SC 1-2 Guingamp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
53%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amiens SC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Guingamp EU Bookmakers 53%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.58
-30% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
14.9 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amiens SC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Guingamp
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2025 Amiens SC Amiens SC 3-2 HT 2-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
22.11.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 3-0 HT 2-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
06.04.2024 Guingamp Guingamp 0-0 HT 0-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
02.09.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
15.04.2023 Guingamp Guingamp 3-1 HT 1-0 Amiens SC Amiens SC FR2
10.01.2023 Amiens SC Amiens SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amiens SC
1-2
AWAY Guingamp
1.72 xG 3.12
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
357 Passes 409
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amiens SC vs Guingamp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp nicked a narrow win over Amiens SC 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guingamp as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Amiens SC had 47% of the ball to Guingamp's 53%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 1.72 to 3.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guingamp's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Amiens SC and 1.67 for Guingamp.

What was the final score of Amiens SC vs Guingamp?

Amiens SC 1-2 Guingamp in the France - Ligue 2 on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amiens SC vs Guingamp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guingamp win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Amiens SC 22%, draw 25%, Guingamp 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guingamp) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guingamp) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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