Paris FC (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.27
Draw
12%
5.28
Away
9%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
74%
+4.2pp
12%
Draw
16%
-4.0pp
9%
Away Win
10%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC (K) EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.15/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/3.37
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
19.2 Crosses 9.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC (K)
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.96 xG 0.96
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 166
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
27 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
09.11.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
29.03.2024 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
09.12.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Paris FC (K) Paris FC (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC (K)
2-1
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.39 xG 1.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
311 Passes 263
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Paris FC (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC (K) edged past Montpellier (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Paris FC (K) as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Paris FC (K) had 54% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 46%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.39 to 1.32 — on chances, Montpellier (K) could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Paris FC (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Paris FC (K) and 1.25 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Paris FC (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Paris FC (K) 2-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Paris FC (K) 79%, draw 12%, Montpellier (K) 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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