Erbil vs Al Gharraf Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erbil v Al Gharraf — Team-Based Signals
Erbil squeezed past Al Gharraf 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Al Gharraf at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Erbil vs Al Gharraf?
Erbil 2-1 Al Gharraf in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erbil vs Al Gharraf?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Gharraf win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Erbil 30%, draw 26%, Al Gharraf 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.