Al Karma 2-0 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.04/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.97
-18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
345 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karma
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
03.05.2025 Al Karma 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra IRAK
08.02.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma got the better of Al Minaa Basra 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Karma as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Karma and 0.50 for Al Minaa Basra.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra?

Al Karma 2-0 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 48%, draw 26%, Al Minaa Basra 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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