Al Karma 0-1 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 May 2025

Al Karma
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Minaa Basra
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Karma v Al Minaa Basra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 24%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.99
-30% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Minaa Basra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
08.02.2025 Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Karma IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Minaa Basra edged past Al Karma 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Karma at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra?

Al Karma 0-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karma win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 48%, draw 29%, Al Minaa Basra 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Karma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Karma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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