Naft Maysan 0-1 Al-Qasim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 May 2025

Naft Maysan
0-1 HT 0-1
Al-Qasim
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.7
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.5pp
30%
Draw
34%
-3.9pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Maysan v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qasim EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.49/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
+78% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qasim squeezed past Naft Maysan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Maysan at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim?

Naft Maysan 0-1 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Maysan vs Al-Qasim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Maysan win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Naft Maysan 47%, draw 30%, Al-Qasim 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft Maysan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Maysan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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