Newroz 0-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 May 2025

Newroz
0-1 HT 0-1
Al Shorta
📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newroz vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
34%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.2pp
53%
Away Win
63%
-9.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newroz v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 67%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.00/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.00
+28% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta squeezed past Newroz 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Shorta?

Newroz 0-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Newroz 22%, draw 24%, Al Shorta 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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