İstanbulspor 3-3 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

İstanbulspor
3 - 3 HT 1 - 1
Sakaryaspor
📅22/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.13
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.05
Over
56%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.07
2-3
45%
1.86
4-5
26%
2.99
6+
8%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.09
1/2
2%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.32
X/2
11%
6.67
X/X
14%
5.38
2/1
3%
23.55
2/2
18%
4.37
2/X
6%
13.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

İstanbulspor v Sakaryaspor — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME İstanbulspor The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor The Market 34%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.70 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.28
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Average
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.04 xG 1.19
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.03.2025 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-0 HT 2-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
20.10.2024 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-1 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
27.04.2008 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-2 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
02.12.2007 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-2 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
21.05.2006 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TBAP
19.02.2006 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L

İstanbulspor 3-3 Sakaryaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
3 - 3
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.62 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
317 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 13
REVIEW İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

İstanbulspor and Sakaryaspor shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. With 6 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

A gentle 43% lean on İstanbulspor didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Sakaryaspor saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for İstanbulspor against 1.17 for Sakaryaspor.

İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor Result & Final Score

İstanbulspor 3 - 3 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

İstanbulspor vs Sakaryaspor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 43%, draw 26%, Sakaryaspor 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İstanbulspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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