Wellington Olympic 2-3 Christchurch United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
49%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
52%
+4.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.9pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Olympic EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Christchurch United EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
1.94/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Olympic
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Christchurch United
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 21
9 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Wellington Olympic Wellington Olympic 5-2 HT 3-0 Christchurch United Christchurch United YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Olympic
2-3
AWAY Christchurch United
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Christchurch United edged past Wellington Olympic 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wellington Olympic at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Wellington Olympic had 43% of the ball to Christchurch United's 57%, shots finished 17-8.

What was the final score of Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch United?

Wellington Olympic 2-3 Christchurch United in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Olympic vs Christchurch United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Wellington Olympic 57%, draw 20%, Christchurch United 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Olympic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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YZLBÖL More New Zealand - Bölgesel
22 Nov 2025
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