Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auckland City v Wellington Phoenix Res — Team-Based Signals
Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Auckland City
YZLBÖL
2-0
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix Res
YZLBÖL
1-1
HT 0-0
Auckland City
YZLD
4-1
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix Res
YZLD
3-2
HT 2-0
Wellington Phoenix Res
YZLD
Auckland City 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Res — Actual Match Statistics
Auckland City got the better of Wellington Phoenix Res 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Auckland City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Auckland City had 61% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix Res's 39%, shots finished 18-8.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auckland City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Auckland City and 1.33 for Wellington Phoenix Res.
What was the final score of Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res?
Auckland City 2-0 Wellington Phoenix Res in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Res?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Auckland City 57%, draw 21%, Wellington Phoenix Res 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.