Irak 1-0 Yemen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 22 Dec 2024

Irak
1-0 HT 0-0
Yemen
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Körfez Cup – 2024

Irak vs Yemen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.25
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 24% vs market 18.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
76%
-10.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.7pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Irak v Yemen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Yemen EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.22/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.28
+77% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -35%
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
548 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 178 · 67%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
26.0 Crosses 12.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Irak vs Yemen Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Yemen
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.14 xG 0.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
407 Passes 269
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.01.2023 Irak Irak 5-0 HT 1-0 Yemen Yemen AKK
02.12.2019 Yemen Yemen 0-0 HT 0-0 Irak Irak AKK
12.01.2019 Yemen Yemen 0-3 HT 0-2 Irak Irak ASK

Irak 1-0 Yemen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
1-0
AWAY Yemen
1.33 xG 0.18
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
556 Passes 162
89% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 5
39 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Irak vs Yemen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak squeezed past Yemen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Irak had 74% of the ball to Yemen's 26%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.33 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Irak had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Irak and 0.00 for Yemen.

What was the final score of Irak vs Yemen?

Irak 1-0 Yemen in the Körfez Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Yemen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Irak 66%, draw 19%, Yemen 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Irak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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