Suudi Arabistan 2-3 Bahreyn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Körfez Cup, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.4
2-3 Goals
45%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.42
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahreyn EU Bookmakers 24%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.81/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.44/1.72
-35% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 69%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
14.0 Crosses 15.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suudi Arabistan
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahreyn
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.68 xG 0.73
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
451 Passes 198
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2024 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn DKE
08.12.2019 Bahreyn Bahreyn 1-0 HT 0-0 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan AKK
30.11.2019 Bahreyn Bahreyn 0-2 HT 0-1 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan AKK
18.07.2007 Suudi Arabistan Suudi Arabistan 4-0 HT 2-0 Bahreyn Bahreyn ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan
2-3
AWAY Bahreyn
1.54 xG 1.42
76% Ball Possession 24%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
507 Passes 110
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 14
37 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan vs Bahreyn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahreyn nicked a narrow win over Suudi Arabistan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Suudi Arabistan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan had 76% of the ball to Bahreyn's 24%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.54 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suudi Arabistan had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Suudi Arabistan and 0.25 for Bahreyn.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan vs Bahreyn?

Suudi Arabistan 2-3 Bahreyn in the Körfez Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan vs Bahreyn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suudi Arabistan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan 44%, draw 31%, Bahreyn 25%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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