Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Darmstadt 98 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Dec 2024

Jahn Regensburg
2-1 HT 0-0
Darmstadt 98
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Darmstadt 98 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
22.1
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
9%
8.85
X/2
15%
4.09
X/X
9%
5.62
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.28
2/X
6%
15.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Darmstadt 98 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 57%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.33/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.03
-35% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +78%
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 81%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
19.5 Crosses 21.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Jahn Regensburg vs Darmstadt 98 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Darmstadt 98
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.01
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
248 Passes 337
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-0 HT 2-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
16.07.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
19.12.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-2 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
24.07.2021 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-2 HT 0-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
30.01.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-1 HT 0-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
26.09.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 0-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Darmstadt 98 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2-1
AWAY Darmstadt 98
1.01 xG 1.13
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
164 Passes 343
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 30
25 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Darmstadt 98
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg nicked a narrow win over Darmstadt 98 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Darmstadt 98 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 36% of the ball to Darmstadt 98's 64%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 1.01 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 0.83 for Darmstadt 98.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Darmstadt 98?

Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Darmstadt 98 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Darmstadt 98?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 29%, draw 22%, Darmstadt 98 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Darmstadt 98) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Over 2.5
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