Kaiserslautern 0-1 Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 22 Dec 2024

Kaiserslautern
0-1 HT 0-1
Köln
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Kaiserslautern vs Köln Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.78
6+ Goals
15%
7.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.0
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.1
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
7.68
X/2
13%
4.88
X/X
7%
5.51
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
28%
2.65
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.1 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Köln — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.65/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.44
+55% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -31%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 78%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
16.8 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9

Kaiserslautern vs Köln Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.66 xG 1.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
242 Passes 394
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
8 Box Touches 28
3 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.10.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-2 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AFK
17.03.2014 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL2
20.09.2013 Köln Köln 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
05.04.2013 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-0 HT 1-0 Köln Köln AL2
26.10.2012 Köln Köln 3-3 HT 2-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
05.02.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-0 Köln Köln AL1

Kaiserslautern 0-1 Köln — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
0-1
AWAY Köln
0.58 xG 1.39
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
542 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln squeezed past Kaiserslautern 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 67% of the ball to Köln's 33%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.58 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.00 for Köln.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Köln?

Kaiserslautern 0-1 Köln in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 29%, draw 22%, Köln 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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