Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.93
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
12%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-15.0pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 14%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
2.52/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.55
+33% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / +52%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
454 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.6 Crosses 12.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.10 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
363 Passes 293
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
24.09.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-2 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
19.04.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-0 HT 1-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
07.03.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAECK
12.11.2022 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
05.02.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 0-0 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
3-1
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.34 xG 0.62
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
409 Passes 285
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai got the better of Baniyas SC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Wasl Dubai as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 57% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 43%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.62.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 0.50 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Baniyas SC?

Al Wasl Dubai 3-1 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 56%, draw 24%, Baniyas SC 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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