Al Ain 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.67
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.46
6+ Goals
11%
5.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 30%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.16/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.42
-66% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
15.6 Crosses 12.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 0.75
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
309 Passes 392
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-3 HT 0-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
02.06.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.02.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.09.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.05.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 5-0 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
1-0
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2.05 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 11
246 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain edged past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ain as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ain had 47% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 53%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 2.05 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ain and 1.50 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Ain 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League Cup on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 44%, draw 22%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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