Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-3 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
6.56
2-3 Goals
35%
2.1
4-5 Goals
27%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-15.2pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 83%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.1 Crosses 18.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.61 xG 1.48
57% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
434 Passes 313
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.02.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 3-2 HT 1-2 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.09.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
11.05.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 5-0 HT 2-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
08.03.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1-3
AWAY Al Ain
1.16 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
292 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ain got the better of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Ain found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 52% of the ball to Al Ain's 48%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.16 to 1.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 2.00 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ain?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-3 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 35%, draw 27%, Al Ain 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ain), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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